| | By Mick James
The last five years have been boom years for the consultancy industry. There’s been growth at all levels: from the headcount of the established consultancies whose numbers run into the tens of thousands to smaller firms who’ve rapidly grown from a handful of founding partners to established names employing anything up to a hundred professionals. The hunger for staff has meant that there have been opportunities at all levels, both for experienced consultants to advance their careers and for people with the right skills and experience to move across from industry and join consultancy firms, often at senior levels. Junior-level recruitment has been slower, but recently we have seen the revival of graduate recruitment. But is this all about to end? Last time there was a minor downturn the consultancy industry responded by cutting staff costs drastically, only to have to spend small fortunes reskilling once things picked up again.
This time, however, there seem to be reasons not to expect a catastrophic turnaround | |
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| | for the industry, even if things get as dire as some commentators expect. The first is that the industry has learned its lesson from recent experience, and will try to hold on to key skills. The second is that consultancy has changed, becoming increasingly operational in its approach. This means that consultants are not purely concerned with growth and expansion, but also with the pragmatic issues of cost and effectiveness, which underlie genuinely sustainable business success.
“For the last two years it’s been the case that the client needs to see bottom-line savings, “says Terry Nolan, group HR director of operational consultancy Celerant. “For many businesses that’s now imperative. Since the spring we’ve seen a definite uptick in the numbers of people that we need.”
This means that not only are companies now finding they can no longer put off vital projects, but that there are new roles for consultants to play, as Alan Leaman, chief executive of the Management Consultancies Association points out:
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“It’s important that companies are as well-organised as possible to meet the challenges of a downturn and to make sure they are ready for an upturn when it comes.”
Consultants have a lot to offer companies in this quest, and it doesn’t simply mean cost- and headcount-cutting: “On the contrary, a lot of it is about helping companies to hang on to their best people rather than hacking and slashing.”
Leaman also expects that the “credit crunch” will intensify the push towards outsourcing in areas such as financial services, a trend identified by the MCA’s recent survey of British Banking Association members. However, only half of those surveyed felt they adequately understood how to get value from outsourcing, which further underlines the ongoing role of consultants: “To do outsourcing well you need advice and help, if you are going to keep quality and service levels high and make sure the effect on existing staff is positive.”
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As to the effect of any downturn on overall levels of employment in consultancy, Leaman believes we are too early in the cycle to say, but that it is certain that there will be some effect. What makes this hard to assess is that in many areas we are still in the final throes of the “war for talent” – last year’s recruitment figures from the MCA showed what appeared to be a slowdown in the take-up of IT staff, but on closer inspection this turned out to be a reflection of an absolute shortage of people in the face of increasing demand for IT consulting services.
Leaman notes that the consultancy industry has recently tended to focus on recruiting senior people with very specific skills, and the recruitment industry confirms that for people with the right “mix” demand remains high.
“We’ve just had our biggest month in August, which is generally the slowest month, plus there’s supposed to be a recession,” says Tim Kemp, senior client partner, professional services at executive search and talent management firm Korn | |
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| | Ferry International. While previous “talent wars” in consultancy have led to either big shakeouts in the industry or structural weaknesses, it seems that this time around the consulting industry has prepared itself by not lowering its quality standards. Even in those areas where consultancies are still crying out for staff, actually getting a job is no shoo-in, as Kemp’s fellow client partner, Jonathan Krogdahl confirms: “Candidates for senior positions can often go to as many as 14 interviews,” he says.
So this is not necessarily the time to put dreams of a consultancy career on hold –indeed for those candidates with the right mixture of skills, experience and flexibility this could be a very interesting time to join the profession. As the MCA’s Leaman puts it: “The consulting industry is now very nimble at positioning itself and providing the right services to clients – wherever they are in the business cycle.” | |
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