| | By Mick James
With signs that the economy is cooling, the UK consultancy industry is at a crossroads. Are we coming to the end of the most recent growth curve, or is the industry going to continue to blossom?
From a low point in 2002, the UK consultancy industry has gone from strength to strength. Last year’s bumper figures from the Management Consultancies Association showed member revenues increasing by 25%. This was always going to be a hard act to follow and, although growth for the most recent quarter has dropped to 11.8%, this is still a growth rate many established industries would kill for. Indeed, consultancy has a long record of outpacing the economy – recent figures from the Office of National Statistics showed that, while the overall economy has grown by 91% over the last 15 years, consultancy has increased its contribution by 266%.
The industry’s recent growth spurt came after the whole industry pretty much went under the plough in the early years of the century. The economy was bettered | |
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| | offered by larger firms.
This is not to say that the big firms have lost out, indeed they too have grown, not just winning private sector transformation projects but benefiting from the twin booms in outsourcing and public sector work.
Outsourcing has gone mainstream and is no longer seen as merely a cost-cutting option. Global companies regularly outsource, not just looking for lower cost or greater efficiency but looking for new capabilities to support their deepest strategic goals. Offshoring options have expanded beyond in India to include “near-shore” locations such as Eastern Europe. As an English-speaking country with ties to both the sub-continent and the EU, the UK has been in a unique position to benefit from this trend.
Nor has the flow been one-way: as the consulting industry has built up its Indian presence, so Indian firms such as Tata, Wipro and Infosys are rapidly building up their own consulting capability in the UK – the ideal springboard to the rest of Europe and even the US.
Meanwhile, under New | |
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| | Labour the consultancy industry has been called on to support the most wide-reaching transformation of the country’s public services ever undertaken, from groundbreaking schemes like the London congestion charge to Connecting for Health, the country’s biggest ever IT project.
All this activity by itself would have created a massive skills shortage, but we have also seen companies like BT and Serco ramping up or establishing consultancy arms. Finally, we are now back in a situation where it’s once more possible to pursue a consultancy career with any of the “Big Four” accountancy firms. In fact, all these firms retained some consultancy capacity, under labels like “Business Growth Advisory Services”. Now that the non-compete agreements have expired, the “Big Four” are back in a big way, adding to the recruitment pressures, particularly at senior levels.
Not that they want to recreate their former selves. Rather they are distancing themselves from the world of IT and outsourcing and positioning themselves | |
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| | as “client side advisory” players who can work with companies in their dealings with the big IT firms. This has coincided rather neatly with a “back to basics” attitude among clients, who are looking for consultants to play a more traditional role in their organisation: cutting costs, enabling growth, bringing innovative thinking and managing change.
So a slight downturn in growth may offer something of a breather for the industry and it’s arguable that recruitment problems themselves have acted as a brake on growth. We’ve probably already reached the high water mark of public sector work, with only ID cards to come. The UK’s imminent “regime change” adds an extra note of caution. One of the biggest challenges the industry will face in coming years is translating the resources it has built up from public sector work into the corporate sector. In the meantime, opportunities still abound, for consultants, would-be consultants and their clients, who now have an unprecedented range of options to choose from.
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| | by the dotcom boom and 9/11, while consultancy was hit by more local issues such as the post-Y2K slump in IT spending and the post-Enron collapse of Arthur Andersen. With widespread redundancies and three of the remaining Big Four accountancy firms selling off their consultancy arms, many consultants found themselves either on the beach, working for the wrong firm, or with promotion prospects stalled.
But from this bleak landscape came a remarkable flowering, particularly at the lower end of the industry. Frustrated consultants showed notable creativity and drive in forming new, niche consultancies and quickly building impressive client bases.
Offering high-quality to blue chip clients, these firms have grown rapidly, matching or exceeding the rewards and career prospects | |
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