| | There are three big stimuli that can cause demand for a product or service to rise dramatically. For the consulting industry the good news is that one of these stimuli is just coming into play and is set to sustain rising consulting demand for a good few quarters to come.
So what are these stimuli and which of them is about to revitalise growth patterns in our industry?
A new technology or fad. The first major stimulus is the sudden introduction of a new technology, fad or business challenge. In the consumer world think the introduction of DVDs, Apple's iPod or the plasma TV. Each has created a frenzy of demand and we have seen them become must-buy items.
In consulting the parallel is the ''next big thing" for businesses to address - think combating Y2K issues or the rush to become e-enabled at the | |
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| | turn of the Century; or more recently the stampede to outsource non-core business functions. Yet nothing is really on the horizon to take up the reigns - RFID technologies and mobilising data for the workforce are seemingly small developments by comparison.
The economic climate. Which brings us to the economic climate and the disposable income available for certain types of purchases. There is little to be gained expanding on this point here. But suffice it to say that in the coming 18 months modest and steady growth is looking more likely than economic boom, so consulting growth is unlikely to be boosted by a sudden wave of corporate feel-good factor.
Rising investment in sales. The last consideration is the sales effort being funneled into a particular sector, for without doubt all sectors have an active | |
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| | demand level dictated by the two previous factors - and a latent demand that if suitably stoked will ignite. It is here that pronounced structural shifts in consulting could help to propel the industry into 2OO6 and beyond.
Arguably the demand for consulting services is swayed considerably by the sales effort being deployed in the industry. Two new sources of sales impetus have emerged this year to propel our market further. Firstly the unmistakable resurgence of accounting firms as a force in the consulting market. When the combined partner-level talent of KPMG, PwC and Ernst & Young all set their sights on a return to consulting, you can't help thinking opportunities will be uncovered - and clients sold - on consulting engagements they would otherwise not be contemplating.
Look at the recruitment activities and recent press statements of these | |
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| | accounting firms and their intention is clear. Deloitte has shown that accounting and consulting brands remain a good fit - and with non-competes now out of the way we can expect the other majors to make big inroads into the sector this year. So the sales effort targeted at consulting clients is going to swell considerably.
However, equally important (though often overlooked) is the proliferation of spin-off consultancies - new entrants to our market that are out there offering a range of differentiated services and all the while multiplying the sales effort being deployed by the consulting sector. Another major trend of the last 3 years has been the rapid emergence of new consulting brands, formed by teams of consulting professionals leaving the major firms to go out on their own. These firms are now at the stage in their growth | |
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| | where they are expanding rapidly and professionalizing their sales approaches. Again, a significant rise in sales effort is the net outcome.
The exciting implication for the consulting world is that sector revenues will now inexorably rise - with or without either of the first two stimuli coming into play. Investment in the consulting salesforce has inadvertently accelerated through these structural shifts and will now foster growth in our sector as a whole. Our prediction is for revenue growth to hit at least 10% these next 12 months, with obvious knock-on benefits for those looking to secure a job in consulting in the coming months. Feedback from the IMC conference earlier this month suggests few in the sector would argue with this figure, so 2006 looks set to become a vintage year!
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