| | Optimism amongst UK businesses is at its highest level since 2004, says a KPMG survey: while over half of respondents feel the economy is on an upward curve, three-quarters believe that UK businesses are competitive within Europe. This is in direct contrast with the previous survey, which reported a diminution in confidence.
KPMG's latest survey of UK small to medium-sized businesses (classed as having turnover of between £5m and £500m) shows a substantial hike in the number of businesses who are optimistic about their sector's prospects over the coming 12 months.
When asked how they felt about the prospects for small to medium-sized companies over the next year, almost two in three (64%) of those surveyed predicted a positive | |
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| | "competitive" or "extremely competitive" within Europe.
Mel Egglenton, UK head of middle market for KPMG, said: "Our latest survey shows confidence amongst SMEs is clearly on the up, with levels of optimism as high as they have been for three or four years. It is also worth highlighting that the people who answer these questions are businessmen, not economists. Therefore, the rationale for their answer is based not on some detailed analysis of macro-economic trends but the health of their order book. So, to see these businesses in confident mood and with healthy order books surely bodes well for the future."
So what has prompted this upturn in confidence? Egglenton said: "Well it's hard to put a finger on it, but it wasn't that long ago that small to | |
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| | medium-sized businesses were struggling with rising energy costs. Many had to look hard at ways to improve their efficiency, and perhaps as a result they are now left with businesses that are more robust than they would have been otherwise. So it appears that those who felt the pinch over the last year or two have now steadied the ship and are looking forward to the next 12 months with a renewed sense of optimism."
Part of the reason for the upswing in confidence may be found elsewhere in the survey. In the past, when asked where they feel the UK currently stands in the economic cycle, responses have tended to be fairly well spread out. This quarter, however, there is a definite groundswell of opinion in one direction, with 58% believing that the economy is on an upward curve.
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One part of the survey that did highlight a growing concern among many businesses was the questions on interest rates. When asked what should happen to interest rates, 66% felt they should be held at present levels. Egglenton commented: "Much has been written in recent months about what the Bank of England should do to the UK's interest rate, and our findings show that two-thirds of businesses would like to see interest rates held at their present levels. However, there is an obvious concern among those questioned that interest rates are going to continue to increase; 41% see this as being a major issue in the future. It'll be interesting to watch what effect any increase will have on the levels of confidence seen in this report."
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