| | According to Hay Group’s Reward in 2010 report, two thirds (65 per cent) of HR professionals anticipate an upturn in business over the next twelve months. Nearly three fifths (57 per cent) expect business results to be on or above targeted levels for 2010. The upbeat outlook is also reflected in improving predictions for pay and bonuses.
However, the report sounds a note of caution: an overwhelming 94 per cent of organisations agree that the worst is not yet over.
Claudia Canavesio, reward expert at Hay Group, comments: “We are starting to see a cautious but growing optimism among UK organisations, reflected in a predicted recovery in salaries and bonuses. However, there remain significant challenges ahead.”
Reward in 2010 is based on predictions from HR and reward professionals from around 200 large organisations in the public and private sectors, representing in excess of 370,000 employees.
Salary forecasts improving
The report provides an early indication that salary increases are beginning to recover. Nearly four fifths (79 per cent) of organisations intend to increase salaries over the next 12 months – compared to 57 per cent that increased salaries in 2009.
The median increase forecast is 2 per cent - an improvement on predictions of just 1 per cent in March 2009.
Canavesio comments: “Compared to previous research, the findings from our latest study suggest greater confidence and clarity for 2010 among reward professionals, who are anticipating and planning for change, rather than employing a laissez faire approach.”
Pay freezes ease off
There are also signs that the big pay freeze is beginning to thaw. Three quarters (75 per cent) of organisations that implemented salary freezes in 2009 plan to lift them within the next 12 months.
Of those organisations that froze salaries in 2009, 23 per cent are considering a second freeze.
Bonuses bounce back
A further positive | |
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| | sign is the re-emergence of performance pay and bonuses. Nearly four fifths (79 per cent) of organisations are intending to pay bonuses over the next 12 months, half (50 per cent) of which are expected to be on or above target.
Payouts will vary markedly according to industry sector- the majority of FMCG and retail organisations plan to pay full bonuses in 2010, while worse hit sectors, such as financial services and manufacturing, are anticipating below target bonuses.
Sector view: a polarised marketplace
Despite the overall optimism, the report reveals a divided UK marketplace. While the majority of sectors are cautiously optimistic about 2010 - FMCG and retail in particular - the manufacturing and public sectors continue to face challenging times.
Manufacturing: Over two thirds (69 per cent) of manufacturers expect to fall short of business targets in 2010, while two fifths (40 per cent) believe it will take between 12 and 18 months to feel the benefits of the upturn – compared to just 20 per cent of all respondents.
Public sector: Public and not-for-profit organisations are even more pessimistic, with nearly three quarters (71 per cent) not expecting to benefit from the upturn for more than 18 months.
Median public sector salary increases are forecast to be just 1 per cent in 2010, in contrast to 2 per cent in April 2009. This is in stark contrast to 2 per cent median increases forecast for the private sector this year.
With substantial cuts in public funding to reduce the Budget deficit expected, certain departments will feel the pressure of cost constraints, in contrast, those with multi-year pay increase deals in place (such as uniformed services) are likely to see those contracts honoured.
FMCG/Retail: In sharp contrast, 90 per cent of retailers and 75 per cent of FMCG firms expect business performance to reach or surpass target levels this year.
Almost all FMCG companies (95 per cent) and a majority of retailers (92 per cent) will provide a salary increase. Nearly three fifths (57 per cent) of FMCG firms that | |
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| | implemented pay freezes in 2009 expect to lift them within the next six months.
Finance: Short-term incentives have – and will continue to be – a hot topic for the financial services sector. Rather unsurprisingly, these are forecast to be below target by nearly two thirds (63 per cent) of respondents. Very few (6 per cent) respondents expect above target incentives, as opposed to 13 per cent of organisations across all sectors.
HR challenges for 2010
Employee engagement and talent management are seen by HR and reward professionals as the most significant priorities for 2010 – both are cited by almost 70 per cent of respondents as a key challenge.
Canavesio comments: “With tighter reward budgets, paying and motivating employees, particularly high performers, is a difficult task.
“It is important for organisations to explore the full breadth of the reward spectrum - offering a competitive total reward package, with a focus on non-financial elements such as career development, work-life balance and job security are likely to maintain engagement and talent.”
Impact on reward practice
Over two thirds (68 per cent) of reward professionals say they have changed the way they manage reward as a result of the recession. Although most have retained overall policy, they have taken the opportunity to implement efficiencies and revisit existing HR programmes.
Perception of the reward function is also changing. In light of pay freezes, reward is reaching wider audiences and the traditional remit of the reward professional is expanding with many organisations adopting a more advanced and creative approach to compensation and benefits.
Canavesio comments: “It is important for organisations to explore the full breadth of the reward spectrum - offering a competitive total reward package, with a focus on non-financial elements such as career development, work-life balance and job security are likely to maintain engagement and talent.” | |
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