| | Usually at this time of year, the main concern of our readers is whether or not bonuses have met expectations. Not this year though. Top of readers' concerns right now is unsurprisingly the impact that the credit crunch (and associated bad press) is having on the consulting industry at large – and recruitment prospects in particular. We asked the specialist recruitment team at Astbury Marsden to comment on recent market developments and how these are impacting the activities of major players in the consulting industry.
With so much discussion and adverse publicity around the ‘credit crunch’ and the current economic slowdown, it is to be expected that before long the doom-sayers will turn and point to the economic climate’s detrimental impact on the management consulting sector and its associated recruitment campaigns. It might be logical to think that significant cuts in discretionary spending by banks will seriously impact the growth prospects of consultancies globally, but is this the reality?
Based on quarterly review figures published in April 2008 and conversations with leading management consulting clients both in the UK and Europe, Jamie Stokes, director | |
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| | of professional services at specialist recruitment company Astbury Marsden, sees no signs of an immediate slowdown in hiring. Despite anecdotal evidence suggesting that caution is in the air, many recruitment campaigns continue to steam ahead. The general consensus is that demand for candidates from banking-sector clients may fall to its lowest for the past two years, but this is not deterring consulting companies from hiring proven consulting and technology staff as we move into quarter two. Even financial services-focused businesses like Oliver Wyman FS, Capco and Ernst & Young continue to recruit apace.
This sentiment was mirrored on 14 April by Alan Greenspan who adopted an uncharacteristically upbeat stance by stating that knowledge economy firms (consultancies to you and I) have evolved and learned from previous down-turns in the economy. The clear result of this is that consultancies are now in superior financial shape, and better suited to cope with cyclical economic downturns. It therefore makes clear sense that regardless of sector, clients continue to invest in premium advisory skills focused on critical cost saving and value enhancement projects.
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Consulting firms with the highest growth potential and those that have recruitment high on the priority list are those firms that are well recognised brand names but are currently sub-scale when compared to their competition (e.g. Ernst & Young, KPMG or even a growing Capgemini Business Consulting). Stokes suggests: “Such sub-scale firms, particularly those with a strategy of selling premium advisory services, are far less likely to move with the market and therefore probably have the biggest opportunity for growth in the face of any adverse market conditions.”
In the current market, there remains a significant demand for consulting services and enhanced execution capability. Creating far-sighted and nimble solutions is more crucial than ever. Roles around the remodelling and transformation of major corporate functions such as HR or finance, typically sponsored by the CEO or CFO, are now of paramount importance. A large number of UK-based consulting firms also continue to see considerable demand for even broader business and IT transformation and integration skills due to the recent spate of M&A activity.
Additional drivers for growth and hiring | |
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| | for many UK consultancies from Big Four, full service or boutique companies are varied. There are the obvious counter-cyclical propositions; dealing with provision of expert witnesses, disputes, sub-prime and regulatory challenges seem perfectly positioned for a downturn. There is also a growing market for those consulting firms purveying more specialist advisory skills such as business and financial modelling, economic and competition advice and credit, market or enterprise risk management.
Stokes also comments that “so-called full service consulting firms such as Accenture and IBM, strategic outsourcing firms such as CSC and EDS and the pure play outsourcers such as TCS and Wipro continue to fare particularly well. When times are good, big corporates engage in strategic outsourcing to improve their service offering and when times are hard they use outsourcing to cut costs to the bone. We see net income in Accenture’s fiscal second quarter rose 37% to $406.6m (£203.7m), from $296.7m (£148.6m) in the same period a year ago. They and others are benefiting from the attractiveness of a broad service offering that includes consulting, applications management, process | |
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| | re-engineering and BPO”.
The pool of talent in all of these areas remains in shorter supply than current market demand. If you have experience in these areas, then Big Four, boutique, and full services consulting entities are likely to be interested in you.
However, Stokes strikes a cautionary note: “It is not all boundless enthusiasm on the recruiting front. We’re certainly witnessing longer and more onerous sign-off periods for a large number of hires so far in 2008. We feel that entry-level recruitment will take the biggest hit. Astbury Marsden estimates that graduate recruitment in 2008 could be down as much as 20% on 2007’s figures, with strategic consulting houses reining in recruitment at that level most dramatically.”
To summarise, one can broadly state that the UK’s mature consulting industry appears confident and robust in these uncertain times. By focusing on creating real value within target organisations, consulting companies can look to the future with real confidence, equipping themselves with talented hires to face the potentially challenging times ahead.
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